Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.014706 0.016802 0.018956 0.021326 0.023852 0.026454 0.029330
2025-07-06 0.010100 0.013136 0.016464 0.020332 0.024656 0.029299 0.034622
2025-07-13 0.007852 0.011437 0.015582 0.020604 0.026413 0.032825 0.040349
2025-07-20 0.005968 0.009779 0.014426 0.020276 0.027245 0.035115 0.044523
2025-07-27 0.004636 0.008557 0.013587 0.020141 0.028147 0.037358 0.048534
2025-08-03 0.004043 0.008197 0.013737 0.021134 0.030325 0.041033 0.054149
2025-08-10 0.003102 0.007185 0.012923 0.020825 0.030854 0.042714 0.057404
2025-08-17 0.002332 0.006278 0.012141 0.020471 0.031258 0.044192 0.060377
2025-08-24 0.001714 0.005480 0.011418 0.020119 0.031607 0.045559 0.063182
2025-08-31 0.001242 0.004813 0.010806 0.019856 0.032023 0.046973 0.066016
2025-09-07 0.000883 0.004257 0.010295 0.019683 0.032518 0.048458 0.068915
2025-09-14 0.000541 0.003587 0.009523 0.019082 0.032408 0.049160 0.070839
2025-09-21 0.000220 0.002761 0.008458 0.018119 0.031955 0.049634 0.072770
2025-09-28 0.000046 0.002051 0.007475 0.017228 0.031606 0.050287 0.075009
2025-10-05 0.000007 0.001771 0.007252 0.017479 0.032818 0.052941 0.079740
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001387 0.006719 0.017180 0.033222 0.054528 0.083126
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001103 0.006323 0.017057 0.033847 0.056384 0.086839
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001070 0.006533 0.017963 0.035964 0.060214 0.093059
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000812 0.006079 0.017681 0.036323 0.061700 0.096295
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000591 0.005629 0.017358 0.036592 0.063046 0.099340
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000412 0.005206 0.017037 0.036836 0.064342 0.102310
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000279 0.004847 0.016797 0.037181 0.065761 0.105429
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000183 0.004548 0.016640 0.037633 0.067315 0.108717